The thunderstorm forecast percentage is calculated by combining data from several computer models.
Will it thunder today, tomorrow or the day after?
Will it thunder during the following ten days?
Next 3 days hour by hour
Next 16 days in 3 hour intervals
UK postcode or place
Thunderstorms need moisture, an unstable atmosphere and lift, to develop.
Moisture is needed to create the clouds and rain.
The atmosphere needs to be unstable so that the air can rise and cool.
Lift is needed to get the air rising. This can be provided by fronts, sea breezes, mountains or heating from the sun.
Thunderstorms are most likely to occur in the summer months when the air is warm and moist. They are most likely to occur in the afternoon and evening when the sun has had time to heat the ground.
If you would like more in-depth information check our extensive range of Numerical Weather Prediction model data
To check the complete weather forecast use the Place, postcode or geolocation options in the header.
Spring bank holiday weather
Summer 2024 potentially very warm?
Unsettled weather for the early May bank holiday?
Hot and thundery summer?
Will the relentless rain relent for Easter?
Daily weather by email
14 day outlook
Monthly outlook
Seasonal outlook
Christmas weather
See the Model inventory for the full list of model charts and data